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| to | Expected stats | Notes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RBJahmyr Gibbs, opens player details | DET@ MIASun 1:00 PM | 24.9 | 7.836.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +1.3 Consensus | 23.3 car, 120 rush yds, 4.2 rec, 1.2 TD | |
| 2 | QBJosh Allen, opens player details | BUF@ MINMon 8:15 PM | 20.3 | 11.034.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.9 Consensus | 227 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 31 rush yds | Dome |
| 3 | QBJoe Burrow, opens player details | CIN@ ATLSun 9:30 AM | 20.1 | 10.534.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.5 Consensus | 267 pass yds, 2.1 TD, 13 rush yds | |
| 4 | QBBrock Purdy, opens player details | SFvs LVSun 4:05 PM | 19.8 | 10.134.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.6 Consensus | 239 pass yds, 2.1 TD, 17 rush yds | |
| 5 | RBKenneth Walker III, opens player details | KCvs NYJSun 1:00 PM | 19.0 | 7.031.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.4 Consensus | 18.2 car, 96 rush yds, 2.5 rec, 1.0 TD | |
| 6 | QBDrake Maye, opens player details | NEvs GBSun 4:25 PM | 18.5 | 8.832.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.8 Consensus | 230 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 25 rush yds | |
| 7 | WRPuka Nacua, opens player details | LAR@ WASSun 1:00 PM | 18.2 | 6.527.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.4 Consensus | 11.1 tgt, 8.2 rec, 96 yds, 0.7 TD | |
| 8 | RBBijan Robinson, opens player details | ATLvs CINSun 9:30 AM | 18.2 | 6.831.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.1 Consensus | 17.3 car, 89 rush yds, 3.6 rec, 0.8 TD | |
| 9 | QBPatrick Mahomes, opens player details | KCvs NYJSun 1:00 PM | 18.2 | 8.732.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.8 Consensus | 238 pass yds, 1.8 TD, 18 rush yds | |
| 10 | QBCaleb Williams, opens player details | CHIvs TBSun 8:20 PM | 17.8 | 8.631.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.4 Consensus | 239 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 17 rush yds | |
| 11 | QBJared Goff, opens player details | DET@ MIASun 1:00 PM | 17.7 | 8.531.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.2 Consensus | 250 pass yds, 1.9 TD, 7 rush yds | |
| 12 | QBTrevor Lawrence, opens player details | JAX@ BALThu 8:15 PM | 17.5 | 8.431.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.7 Consensus | 233 pass yds, 1.7 TD, 14 rush yds | |
| 13 | RBJavonte Williams, opens player details | DAL@ INDSun 1:00 PM | 17.4 | 6.630.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.9 Consensus | 20.7 car, 90 rush yds, 2.0 rec, 1.1 TD | Roof closed |
| 14 | RBChristian McCaffrey, opens player details | SFvs LVSun 4:05 PM | 17.3 | 6.530.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.7 Consensus | 14.1 car, 69 rush yds, 3.2 rec, 1.0 TD | |
| 15 | QBMatthew Stafford, opens player details | LAR@ WASSun 1:00 PM | 16.9 | 8.229.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.2 Consensus | 255 pass yds, 1.7 TD, 6 rush yds | |
| 16 | QBMalik Willis, opens player details | MIAvs DETSun 1:00 PM | 16.8 | 8.229.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.2 Consensus | 214 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 28 rush yds | |
| 17 | QBJordan Love, opens player details | GB@ NESun 4:25 PM | 16.5 | 7.928.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.0 Consensus | 262 pass yds, 1.5 TD, 6 rush yds | |
| 18 | QBDak Prescott, opens player details | DAL@ INDSun 1:00 PM | 16.4 | 7.928.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.5 Consensus | 221 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 14 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 19 | WRJaxon Smith-Njigba, opens player details | SEAvs ARISun 4:25 PM | 16.3 | 5.826.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.8 Consensus | 9.2 tgt, 6.4 rec, 91 yds, 0.6 TD | |
| 20 | QBJayden Daniels, opens player details | WASvs LARSun 1:00 PM | 16.1 | 7.628.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.1 Consensus | 213 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 21 rush yds | |
| 21 | QBC.J. Stroud, opens player details | HOU@ LACSun 4:05 PM | 16.0 | 7.528.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.7 Consensus | 233 pass yds, 1.5 TD, 9 rush yds | Dome |
| 22 | QBDaniel Jones, opens player details | INDvs DALSun 1:00 PM | 15.6 | 6.927.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.8 Consensus | 263 pass yds, 1.2 TD, 11 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 23 | QBKirk Cousins, opens player details | LV@ SFSun 4:05 PM | 15.6 | 6.927.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | 0.0 Consensus | 246 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 5 rush yds | |
| 24 | QBMichael Penix Jr., opens player details | ATLvs CINSun 9:30 AM | 15.6 | 6.827.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.9 Consensus | 221 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 12 rush yds | |
| 25 | QBSam Darnold, opens player details | SEAvs ARISun 4:25 PM | 15.4 | 6.526.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.3 Consensus | 211 pass yds, 1.7 TD, 11 rush yds | |
| 26 | QBKyler Murray, opens player details | MINvs BUFMon 8:15 PM | 15.3 | 6.426.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.1 Consensus | 209 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 19 rush yds | Dome |
| 27 | QBBo Nix, opens player details | DEN@ CARSun 1:00 PM | 15.2 | 6.226.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.8 Consensus | 203 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 15 rush yds | |
| 28 | QBDeshaun Watson, opens player details | CLE@ NOSun 1:00 PM | 15.1 | 6.026.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.8 Consensus | 225 pass yds, 1.1 TD, 18 rush yds | Dome |
| 29 | QBBryce Young, opens player details | CARvs DENSun 1:00 PM | 15.1 | 5.926.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.3 Consensus | 235 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 8 rush yds | |
| 30 | RBKyren Williams, opens player details | LAR@ WASSun 1:00 PM | 14.9 | 5.727.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.2 Consensus | 15.3 car, 75 rush yds, 2.4 rec, 0.8 TD | |
| 31 | RBChase Brown, opens player details | CIN@ ATLSun 9:30 AM | 14.8 | 5.727.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.8 Consensus | 15.2 car, 70 rush yds, 3.6 rec, 0.6 TD | |
| 32 | WRCeeDee Lamb, opens player details | DAL@ INDSun 1:00 PM | 14.7 | 5.026.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.1 Consensus | 9.3 tgt, 5.9 rec, 77 yds, 0.7 TD | Roof closed |
| 33 | QBBaker Mayfield, opens player details | TB@ CHISun 8:20 PM | 14.5 | 5.125.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.2 Consensus | 207 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 16 rush yds | |
| 34 | WRJa'Marr Chase, opens player details | CIN@ ATLSun 9:30 AM | 14.4 | 4.925.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.9 Consensus | 9.2 tgt, 6.3 rec, 74 yds, 0.6 TD | |
| 35 | RBJonah Coleman, opens player details | DEN@ CARSun 1:00 PM | 14.4 | 5.426.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +1.8 Consensus | 10.6 car, 49 rush yds, 4.2 rec, 0.6 TD | |
| 36 | RBCam Skattebo, opens player details | NYG@ PHISun 1:00 PM | 14.3 | 5.426.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +2.4 Consensus | 17.5 car, 79 rush yds, 2.1 rec, 0.7 TD | |
| 37 | RBSaquon Barkley, opens player details | PHIvs NYGSun 1:00 PM | 14.3 | 5.426.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +1.9 Consensus | 15.5 car, 70 rush yds, 2.7 rec, 0.7 TD | |
| 38 | QBJ.J. McCarthy, opens player details | NYG@ PHISun 1:00 PM | 14.3 | 4.824.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.7 Consensus | 211 pass yds, 1.2 TD, 17 rush yds | |
| 39 | QBJustin Herbert, opens player details | LACvs HOUSun 4:05 PM | 14.1 | 4.624.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.3 Consensus | 205 pass yds, 1.0 TD, 24 rush yds | Dome |
| 40 | QBGeno Smith, opens player details | NYJ@ KCSun 1:00 PM | 14.1 | 4.524.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.6 Consensus | 234 pass yds, 1.2 TD, 8 rush yds | |
| 41 | RBJonathan Taylor, opens player details | INDvs DALSun 1:00 PM | 14.0 | 5.326.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.5 Consensus | 13.0 car, 61 rush yds, 2.7 rec, 0.7 TD | Roof closed |
| 42 | RBJames Cook III, opens player details | BUF@ MINMon 8:15 PM | 14.0 | 5.226.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.7 Consensus | 16.5 car, 80 rush yds, 1.6 rec, 0.7 TD | Dome |
| 43 | WRAmon-Ra St. Brown, opens player details | DET@ MIASun 1:00 PM | 13.8 | 4.725.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.1 Consensus | 8.8 tgt, 6.0 rec, 71 yds, 0.6 TD | |
| 44 | QBTyler Shough, opens player details | NOvs CLESun 1:00 PM | 13.7 | 4.224.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.3 Consensus | 194 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 11 rush yds | Dome |
| 45 | RBChuba Hubbard, opens player details | CARvs DENSun 1:00 PM | 13.0 | 4.725.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.5 Consensus | 14.2 car, 59 rush yds, 2.9 rec, 0.6 TD | |
| 46 | WRDrake London, opens player details | ATLvs CINSun 9:30 AM | 12.9 | 4.325.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.8 Consensus | 8.8 tgt, 5.4 rec, 75 yds, 0.4 TD | |
| 47 | WRTee Higgins, opens player details | CIN@ ATLSun 9:30 AM | 12.9 | 4.325.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.2 Consensus | 7.5 tgt, 5.0 rec, 74 yds, 0.5 TD | |
| 48 | RBAshton Jeanty, opens player details | LV@ SFSun 4:05 PM | 12.8 | 4.624.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +1.6 Consensus | 12.8 car, 48 rush yds, 3.6 rec, 0.6 TD | |
| 49 | RBQuinshon Judkins, opens player details | CLE@ NOSun 1:00 PM | 12.7 | 4.524.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.8 Consensus | 14.3 car, 56 rush yds, 2.5 rec, 0.7 TD | Dome |
| 50 | WRMalik Nabers, opens player details | NYG@ PHISun 1:00 PM | 12.2 | 4.024.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.0 Consensus | 8.0 tgt, 5.1 rec, 71 yds, 0.4 TD | |
| 51 | WRA.J. Brown, opens player details | NEvs GBSun 4:25 PM | 12.0 | 3.924.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.6 Consensus | 8.7 tgt, 5.3 rec, 69 yds, 0.4 TD | |
| 52 | QBGardner Minshew II, opens player details | ARI@ SEASun 4:25 PM | 11.7 | 3.423.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.3 Consensus | 200 pass yds, 1.0 TD, 7 rush yds | |
| 53 | RBD'Andre Swift, opens player details | CHIvs TBSun 8:20 PM | 11.7 | 3.823.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.1 Consensus | 12.7 car, 49 rush yds, 2.4 rec, 0.7 TD | |
| 54 | RBBucky Irving, opens player details | TB@ CHISun 8:20 PM | 11.5 | 3.722.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.6 Consensus | 15.0 car, 62 rush yds, 1.9 rec, 0.6 TD | |
| 55 | WRJustin Jefferson, opens player details | MINvs BUFMon 8:15 PM | 11.5 | 3.623.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.0 Consensus | 8.3 tgt, 5.3 rec, 64 yds, 0.4 TD | Dome |
| 56 | WRChristian Watson, opens player details | GB@ NESun 4:25 PM | 11.4 | 3.623.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.8 Consensus | 7.1 tgt, 4.4 rec, 70 yds, 0.4 TD | |
| 57 | WRTetairoa McMillan, opens player details | CARvs DENSun 1:00 PM | 11.4 | 3.623.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.4 Consensus | 8.6 tgt, 5.4 rec, 67 yds, 0.3 TD | |
| 58 | WRParker Washington, opens player details | JAX@ BALThu 8:15 PM | 11.4 | 3.623.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.3 Consensus | 6.8 tgt, 4.0 rec, 63 yds, 0.4 TD | |
| 59 | QBTanner McKee, opens player details | PHIvs NYGSun 1:00 PM | 11.2 | 3.323.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.1 Consensus | 188 pass yds, 0.9 TD, 8 rush yds | |
| 60 | WRNico Collins, opens player details | HOU@ LACSun 4:05 PM | 11.2 | 3.523.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.7 Consensus | 7.6 tgt, 4.7 rec, 62 yds, 0.4 TD | Dome |
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Data obtained from FantasyPros
WRBALBye week 13
Each site's number is its last projection before kickoff, scored in Half-PPR. More sites join soon.
M&T Bank Stadium
Tap a tile to see it game by game.
| Wk | Opp | We said | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ IND | 0.0 | 2.5 | +2.5 | No range |
| 2 | vs NO | 1.7 | 1.9 | +0.2 | Within range |
| 3 | @ DAL | 1.1 | 0.0 | -1.1 | Within range |
| 4 | vs TEN | 1.1 | 0.0 | -1.1 | Within range |
| 5 | @ ATL | 0.8 | 0.0 | -0.8 | No range |
| 6 | @ CLE | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | No range |
| 7 | vs CIN | 0.6 | 2.0 | +1.4 | No range |
| 8 | @ BUF | 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 | No range |
"We said" is the number frozen at kickoff, so it cannot be edited after the fact.
Everything behind the number, for when you want to make your own call.
| Game | Snap % | Route %estimated | Routesestimated | Tgt | Tgt share | TPRRestimated | Air yds | AY share | aDOT | RZ tgt | EZ tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 @ IND | 29% | 29% | 8.4 | 2 | 8% | .24 | 11 | 4% | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 2 vs NO | 53% | 53% | 19.6 | 2 | 7% | .10 | 10 | 3% | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 3 @ DAL | 17% | 17% | 3.7 | 0 | 0% | .00 | 0 |
Games before this week only. Sources: public NFL box scores, play-by-play and snap counts. A dash means that game's data is not in yet. Routes marked estimated are his snap share times his team's pass plays. Real route counts replace them once participation data is published.
Over these games he scored +0.2 points per game above expected, in Half-PPR and on the same stats (fumbles left out of both). Expected points come from a public model that publishes about a week late, so the latest game may not be in yet.
| 0% |
| - |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Wk 4 vs TEN | 3% | 3% | 1 | 0 | 0% | .00 | 0 | 0% | - | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 5 @ ATL | - | - | - | 0 | 0% | - | 0 | 0% | - | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 6 @ CLE | 5% | 5% | 1.9 | 0 | 0% | .00 | 0 | 0% | - | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 7 vs CIN | 1% | 1% | 0.4 | 1 | 3% | 2.50 | -5 | -2% | -5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wk 8 @ BUF | 12% | 12% | 3.7 | 0 | 0% | .00 | 0 | 0% | - | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 avg (8 games) | 17% | 17% | 5.5 | 0.6 | 2% | .13 | 2 | 1% | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 avg (16 games) | 8% | 7% | 2.1 | 0 | 0% | .00 | 0 | 0% | - | 0 | 0 |
Percentiles rank him among WRs with at least 50 routes in this window, when enough players qualify; green is the top quarter, red the bottom. NGS, PFR, FTN and expected catches run a week behind play-by-play because they publish later.
FTN Data via nflverse, CC BY-SA 4.0