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| to | Expected stats | Notes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RBJahmyr Gibbs, opens player details | DETvs GBSun 4:25 PM | 24.7 | 7.836.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +1.6 Consensus | 23.4 car, 113 rush yds, 4.8 rec, 1.2 TD | Dome |
| 2 | RBBijan Robinson, opens player details | ATLvs SFSun 1:00 PM | 19.4 | 7.132.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.2 Consensus | 17.6 car, 94 rush yds, 4.0 rec, 0.8 TD | Roof closed |
| 3 | QBDrake Maye, opens player details | NE@ CHIThu 8:15 PM | 19.4 | 9.533.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.8 Consensus | 251 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 29 rush yds | |
| 4 | RBD'Andre Swift, opens player details | CHIvs NEThu 8:15 PM | 18.4 | 6.831.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +4.6 Consensus | 19.0 car, 81 rush yds, 3.4 rec, 1.0 TD | |
| 5 | QBBrock Purdy, opens player details | SF@ ATLSun 1:00 PM | 18.3 | 8.832.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.1 Consensus | 262 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 19 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 6 | QBJared Goff, opens player details | DETvs GBSun 4:25 PM | 18.2 | 8.732.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.7 Consensus | 270 pass yds, 1.8 TD, 7 rush yds | Dome |
| 7 | QBLamar Jackson, opens player details | BALvs CINSun 1:00 PM | 18.2 | 8.732.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.7 Consensus | 236 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 27 rush yds | |
| 8 | QBCaleb Williams, opens player details | CHIvs NEThu 8:15 PM | 18.1 | 8.732.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | 0.0 Consensus | 238 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 21 rush yds | |
| 9 | QBJordan Love, opens player details | GB@ DETSun 4:25 PM | 17.9 | 8.631.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.9 Consensus | 278 pass yds, 1.7 TD, 7 rush yds | Dome |
| 10 | QBJoe Burrow, opens player details | CIN@ BALSun 1:00 PM | 17.9 | 8.631.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.8 Consensus | 267 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 12 rush yds | |
| 11 | RBDerrick Henry, opens player details | BALvs CINSun 1:00 PM | 16.4 | 6.329.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.7 Consensus | 20.0 car, 98 rush yds, 1.2 rec, 0.9 TD | |
| 12 | QBMatthew Stafford, opens player details | LA@ LVSun 4:25 PM | 16.2 | 7.728.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.5 Consensus | 248 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 7 rush yds | Dome |
| 13 | QBBryce Young, opens player details | CARvs TBSun 1:00 PM | 16.1 | 7.528.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.3 Consensus | 235 pass yds, 1.5 TD, 12 rush yds | |
| 14 | RBAaron Jones, opens player details | MINvs INDSun 1:00 PM | 15.9 | 6.128.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +5.7 Consensus | 19.0 car, 79 rush yds, 2.4 rec, 0.9 TD | Dome |
| 15 | QBMichael Penix, opens player details | ATLvs SFSun 1:00 PM | 15.8 | 7.227.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.8 Consensus | 239 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 10 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 16 | RBJavonte Williams, opens player details | DAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PM | 15.7 | 6.028.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.3 Consensus | 18.1 car, 79 rush yds, 2.2 rec, 0.9 TD | |
| 17 | QBTyler Shough, opens player details | NOvs PITSun 9:30 AM | 15.6 | 6.927.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.7 Consensus | 233 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 13 rush yds | |
| 18 | RBChristian McCaffrey, opens player details | SF@ ATLSun 1:00 PM | 15.6 | 6.028.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.0 Consensus | 13.6 car, 57 rush yds, 3.7 rec, 0.9 TD | Roof closed |
| 19 | QBC.J. Stroud, opens player details | HOUvs NYGSun 1:00 PM | 15.6 | 6.827.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.8 Consensus | 198 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 15 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 20 | RBKyren Williams, opens player details | LA@ LVSun 4:25 PM | 15.3 | 5.927.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.6 Consensus | 14.6 car, 76 rush yds, 2.8 rec, 0.7 TD | Dome |
| 21 | QBAaron Rodgers, opens player details | PIT@ NOSun 9:30 AM | 15.3 | 6.326.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.9 Consensus | 229 pass yds, 1.6 TD, 2 rush yds | |
| 22 | QBDeshaun Watson, opens player details | CLE@ TENSun 1:00 PM | 15.0 | 5.825.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | 0.0 Consensus | 220 pass yds, 1.2 TD, 17 rush yds | |
| 23 | QBBaker Mayfield, opens player details | TB@ CARSun 1:00 PM | 14.9 | 5.825.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +4.5 Consensus | 217 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 19 rush yds | |
| 24 | WRJaxon Smith-Njigba, opens player details | SEAvs KCSun 8:20 PM | 14.9 | 5.226.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.0 Consensus | 9.1 tgt, 6.4 rec, 88 yds, 0.5 TD | |
| 25 | QBPatrick Mahomes, opens player details | KC@ SEASun 8:20 PM | 14.9 | 5.725.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.3 Consensus | 218 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 17 rush yds | |
| 26 | QBDak Prescott, opens player details | DAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PM | 14.9 | 5.725.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.2 Consensus | 224 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 12 rush yds | |
| 27 | WRAmon-Ra St. Brown, opens player details | DETvs GBSun 4:25 PM | 14.9 | 5.126.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.3 Consensus | 10.2 tgt, 6.7 rec, 76 yds, 0.7 TD | Dome |
| 28 | QBBo Nix, opens player details | DEN@ ARISun 4:05 PM | 14.8 | 5.525.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.1 Consensus | 195 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 17 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 29 | QBKyler Murray, opens player details | MINvs INDSun 1:00 PM | 14.6 | 5.225.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -4.5 Consensus | 189 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 22 rush yds | Dome |
| 30 | WRPuka Nacua, opens player details | LA@ LVSun 4:25 PM | 14.4 | 4.925.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -5.4 Consensus | 7.9 tgt, 5.7 rec, 74 yds, 0.6 TD | Dome |
| 31 | WRJa'Marr Chase, opens player details | CIN@ BALSun 1:00 PM | 14.1 | 4.825.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.6 Consensus | 8.6 tgt, 5.9 rec, 78 yds, 0.5 TD | |
| 32 | QBJacoby Brissett, opens player details | ARIvs DENSun 4:05 PM | 14.1 | 4.624.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.5 Consensus | 217 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 10 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 33 | QBKirk Cousins, opens player details | LVvs LASun 4:25 PM | 14.0 | 4.524.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.3 Consensus | 218 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 6 rush yds | Dome |
| 34 | RBKenneth Walker, opens player details | KC@ SEASun 8:20 PM | 14.0 | 5.326.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -3.1 Consensus | 14.6 car, 70 rush yds, 2.4 rec, 0.7 TD | |
| 35 | QBSam Darnold, opens player details | SEAvs KCSun 8:20 PM | 14.0 | 4.524.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.1 Consensus | 221 pass yds, 1.4 TD, 8 rush yds | |
| 36 | RBAshton Jeanty, opens player details | LVvs LASun 4:25 PM | 13.9 | 5.226.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.1 Consensus | 15.2 car, 59 rush yds, 3.2 rec, 0.6 TD | Dome |
| 37 | RBJaylen Warren, opens player details | PIT@ NOSun 9:30 AM | 13.9 | 5.226.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.6 Consensus | 14.2 car, 72 rush yds, 2.6 rec, 0.5 TD | |
| 38 | QBTanner McKee, opens player details | PHIvs DALMon 8:15 PM | 13.6 | 4.124.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.1 Consensus | 229 pass yds, 1.2 TD, 7 rush yds | |
| 39 | QBMalik Willis, opens player details | MIA@ NYJSun 1:00 PM | 13.4 | 4.024.0, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.8 Consensus | 214 pass yds, 0.8 TD, 21 rush yds | |
| 40 | QBJameis Winston, opens player details | NYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PM | 13.4 | 4.023.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +3.5 Consensus | 235 pass yds, 1.0 TD, 11 rush yds | Roof closed |
| 41 | QBGeno Smith, opens player details | NYJvs MIASun 1:00 PM | 13.4 | 4.023.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.8 Consensus | 190 pass yds, 1.3 TD, 11 rush yds | |
| 42 | RBChuba Hubbard, opens player details | CARvs TBSun 1:00 PM | 12.9 | 4.624.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.6 Consensus | 16.2 car, 67 rush yds, 1.9 rec, 0.7 TD | |
| 43 | RBChase Brown, opens player details | CIN@ BALSun 1:00 PM | 12.8 | 4.624.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | 0.0 Consensus | 14.3 car, 54 rush yds, 3.5 rec, 0.6 TD | |
| 44 | WRMalik Nabers, opens player details | NYG@ HOUSun 1:00 PM | 12.7 | 4.224.9, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.2 Consensus | 9.0 tgt, 5.7 rec, 75 yds, 0.4 TD | Roof closed |
| 45 | WRDrake London, opens player details | ATLvs SFSun 1:00 PM | 12.5 | 4.124.8, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.6 Consensus | 8.4 tgt, 5.3 rec, 77 yds, 0.3 TD | Roof closed |
| 46 | WRZay Flowers, opens player details | BALvs CINSun 1:00 PM | 12.4 | 4.124.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.8 Consensus | 7.5 tgt, 5.3 rec, 67 yds, 0.5 TD | |
| 47 | WRChris Olave, opens player details | NOvs PITSun 9:30 AM | 12.2 | 4.024.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.3 Consensus | 8.8 tgt, 5.8 rec, 71 yds, 0.4 TD | |
| 48 | WRA.J. Brown, opens player detailsQ | NE@ CHIThu 8:15 PM | 12.2 | 4.024.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.6 Consensus | 7.9 tgt, 4.9 rec, 69 yds, 0.5 TD | |
| 49 | WRCeeDee Lamb, opens player details | DAL@ PHIMon 8:15 PM | 12.2 | 4.024.6, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.6 Consensus | 7.7 tgt, 5.0 rec, 67 yds, 0.5 TD | |
| 50 | WRChristian Watson, opens player details | GB@ DETSun 4:25 PM | 12.1 | 3.924.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.6 Consensus | 6.5 tgt, 3.9 rec, 72 yds, 0.5 TD | Dome |
| 51 | RBEmanuel Wilson, opens player details | SEAvs KCSun 8:20 PM | 12.0 | 4.123.7, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +4.6 Consensus | 17.3 car, 61 rush yds, 1.9 rec, 0.6 TD | |
| 52 | WRTetairoa McMillan, opens player details | CARvs TBSun 1:00 PM | 12.0 | 3.924.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.9 Consensus | 7.8 tgt, 4.8 rec, 68 yds, 0.5 TD | |
| 53 | RBJ.K. Dobbins, opens player details | DEN@ ARISun 4:05 PM | 11.9 | 4.023.5, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +1.3 Consensus | 15.0 car, 70 rush yds, 1.4 rec, 0.6 TD | Roof closed |
| 54 | QBCam Ward, opens player details | TENvs CLESun 1:00 PM | 11.9 | 3.423.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.0 Consensus | 171 pass yds, 1.1 TD, 11 rush yds | |
| 55 | WRMatthew Golden, opens player details | GB@ DETSun 4:25 PM | 11.9 | 3.824.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -1.4 Consensus | 7.5 tgt, 4.3 rec, 69 yds, 0.5 TD | Dome |
| 56 | QBDaniel Jones, opens player details | IND@ MINSun 1:00 PM | 11.8 | 3.423.4, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.9 Consensus | 200 pass yds, 0.9 TD, 10 rush yds | Dome |
| 57 | WRMike Evans, opens player details | SF@ ATLSun 1:00 PM | 11.7 | 3.824.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.1 Consensus | 7.9 tgt, 4.7 rec, 70 yds, 0.4 TD | Roof closed |
| 58 | RBBucky Irving, opens player details | TB@ CARSun 1:00 PM | 11.7 | 3.923.2, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -2.0 Consensus | 14.8 car, 64 rush yds, 2.3 rec, 0.4 TD | |
| 59 | TETrey McBride, opens player details | ARIvs DENSun 4:05 PM | 11.7 | 3.522.3, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | -0.6 Consensus | 8.7 tgt, 6.5 rec, 61 yds, 0.4 TD | Roof closed |
| 60 | RBQuinshon Judkins, opens player details | CLE@ TENSun 1:00 PM | 11.6 | 3.823.1, Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside | +0.3 Consensus | 12.4 car, 42 rush yds, 3.5 rec, 0.6 TD |
Data obtained from FantasyPros
QBDENBye week 10
Likely range: about 8 in 10 weeks land inside
Middle range: about half of weeks land inside, 10.2 to 20.4
Each site's number is its last projection before kickoff, scored in Half-PPR. More sites join soon.
Data obtained from FantasyPros
Bo Nix confirmed as Broncos starting QB
Head coach Sean Payton says Nix stays the starter with no change under consideration, keeping him firmly in the lineup, per Parker Gabriel.
per Parker Gabriel · 19h ago
News via RotoWire/ESPN and Bluesky.
State Farm Stadium
Tap a tile to see it game by game.
| Wk | Opp | We said | Actual | Miss | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ KC | 13.7 | 6.4 | -7.3 | Within range |
| 2 | vs JAX | 15.3 | 15.1 | -0.2 | Within range |
| 3 | vs LA | 14.6 | 25.1 | +10.5 | Within range |
| 4 | @ SF | 16.5 | 13.6 | -2.9 | Within range |
| 5 | @ LAC | 16.1 | 7.9 | -8.2 | Within range |
| 6 | vs SEA | 14.3 | 4.5 | -9.8 | Outside range |
"We said" is the number frozen at kickoff, so it cannot be edited after the fact.
Everything behind the number, for when you want to make your own call.
| Game | Dropbacks | Att | aDOT | Deep att | Scrambles | Designed runs | RZ att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 @ KC | 33 | 28 | 3.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wk 2 vs JAX | 31 | 31 | 8.6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Wk 3 vs LA | 35 | 34 | 5.4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| Wk 4 @ SF | 44 | 42 | 4.5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Wk 5 @ LAC | 29 | 27 | 4.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Wk 6 vs SEA | 30 | 27 | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 2026 avg (6 games) | 33.7 | 31.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 2 | 4.2 |
| 2025 avg (17 games) | 39.4 | 36 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5.1 |
Games before this week only. Sources: public NFL box scores, play-by-play and snap counts. A dash means that game's data is not in yet.
Percentiles rank him among QBs with at least 100 dropbacks in this window, when enough players qualify; green is the top quarter, red the bottom. NGS, PFR and FTN run a week behind play-by-play because they publish later.
FTN Data via nflverse, CC BY-SA 4.0
Over these games he scored -3.2 points per game below expected, in Half-PPR and on the same stats (fumbles left out of both). Expected points come from a public model that publishes about a week late, so the latest game may not be in yet.